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Keep in mind that not every extreme of feeling corresponds to a market top or bottom, thus we'll need a more specific sign. Calculating the percentage of long or short speculative positions would be a better indicator of whether the market is topping or bottoming out.
It's like having your own pony when you have your own COT indicator. When it comes to spotting potential market reversals, the COT report can be extremely informative.
As you might think, the best times to go long and short are when emotions are at their peak. The speculators (green line) and commercials (blue line) delivered opposing signals in the last case. Hedgers purchase when the market is bottoming, while speculators sell when the market is falling. Here's the chart from the COT report once more:
Because the COT report is published weekly, its utility as a market sentiment indicator is better suited to longer-term trading. How do you turn all that "huge gigantic gobbled-up block of text" into a sentiment-based indication that will help you grab some pips?
To comprehend the futures market, you must first understand who is calling the shots and who is warming up the bench.
Where Can I Get a COT Report? The Commitment of Traders report can be found online in the following ways.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or CFTC, is the body that publishes the data. Commitment of Traders report (COT) on Fridays at 2:30 p.m. EST.
Every forex trader will have an opinion on the market at some point. "Everything is going to hell! It's a bear market!" "Everything appears to be going OK. "Right now, I'm pretty bullish on the markets."